An external threat stimulates a sense of patriotic unity in the population, to support their government in defending the country
It is widely agreed that a prime duty of government is to protect people (2.1). When a leader tells people that they are threatened, their immediate reaction is to support that leader in repelling the threat. The sense of belonging to a group and the desire to show solidarity with it are deep-seated and powerful instincts (4.3.2.2). Political differences are forgotten for a time.
A threat which is genuine and unavoidable gives the population an incentive to pull together. This is a form of political legitimacy which is not created by a government’s virtues but by a reaction to outside forces. Several types of threat can have such an effect:
· People rally to support their leaders in a country which is at war or is under the threat of war. Winston Churchill, for example, was immensely popular as a wartime leader.
· When Argentina captured Britain’s Falkland Islands, Margaret Thatcher decided to recover them, claiming it as a ‘just war’ (4.3.5.5) to protect the islanders. History.com described How the Falklands War Cemented Margaret Thatcher's Reputation as the 'Iron Lady'. It turned round her political fortunes: she became very popular (but General Galtieri, whom she defeated, was ousted – as noted below).
· Coercive economic sanctions against Zimbabwe gave Robert Mugabe an excuse for his failures: they enabled him to deflect criticism of his mismanagement of the economy (3.3.7.2) and they gave him the political legitimacy of confronting an eternal enemy. He was able to rule for 37 years.
· Boris Johnson, who has been described as An English Nationalist, and others persuaded many British people that the country’s sovereignty was threatened by its membership of the European Union (EU). The slogan “take back control” was effective in winning the 2016 referendum vote to leave the EU in a ‘Brexit’ – as described later (6.6.5.8). He stimulated a sense of patriotic unity and pride in a vision of an independent “global Britain”.
· Vladimir Putin has persuaded Russians that they are threatened by the West. This was a rallying cry to increase his political support. Although he was the aggressor when he invaded Ukraine, he presented his action as protecting the population of the Donbass (which he was claiming as being part of Russia):
“One year ago, to protect the people in our historical lands, to ensure the security of our country and to eliminate the threat coming from the neo-Nazi regime that had taken hold in Ukraine after the 2014 coup, it was decided to begin the special military operation.
.. Since 2014, Donbass has been fighting for the right to live in their land and to speak their native tongue. It fought and never gave up amid the blockade, constant shelling and the Kiev regime’s overt hatred. It hoped and waited that Russia would come to help.”
Patriotic unity dissolves if the public becomes dissatisfied or when the threat is removed:
· “Winston Churchill was probably the most popular British prime minister of all time”, but he lost the election after the Second World War when people wanted a different kind of government for the reconstruction – as the BBC argued when explaining Why Churchill Lost in 1945.
· It is particularly difficult to maintain public support for an overseas war, particularly if it continues for longer than expected or if it appears to be going badly. A well-known example was the eventual unpopularity of the Vietnam War: illustrated by the BBC report, Thousands join anti-war movement.
· The Economist obituary, Leopoldo Galtieri, described how General Galtieri’s government was experiencing protests when “Argentina was going through one of its regular periods of high inflation and poor growth.” His invasion of the Falkland Islands was initially popular: “The protests were largely forgotten when he announced that Argentina was to seize the Falklands”, but he was dismissed when the invasion was defeated.
Politicians may crave the united support which they receive in wartime, but that only appears in defending against real threats. Foreign wars of choice are much less popular and are rarely successful, as described in the next chapter (7.4.7).
(This is an archive of a page intended to form part of Edition 4 of the Patterns of Power series of books. The latest versions are at book contents).