There is increasing disillusion with politicians, whom people see as having failed to maintain or improve living standards
There is widespread evidence of discontent with the political establishment:
· Austerity was unpopular. There were “large protests in many European countries, including Britain, Portugal and Spain, in response to austerity” during the 2011 Eurozone crisis, as noted by The Economist in its summary of The world this year.
· Many voters are rejecting the establishment. A 2016 article, Across Europe, distrust of mainstream political parties is on the rise, reported that parties on the far left and on the far right have gained increasing shares of the vote in national elections:
"The far right is gaining support in some corners of Europe, but more marked is the rejection by voters of the political establishment".
· The British people’s vote to leave the EU indicated their dislike of recent economic and social changes, as described later in this chapter (6.6.5.8). John Gray, in his article Brexit has left the British political class trapped by its own history, argued that politicians still haven't got the message: "most of the political class has proved incapable of adapting its thinking to the mass disaffection that the referendum revealed”.
· Voters rejected America’s political establishment in 2016 by voting for Donald Trump, a populist. His opponent, Hillary Clinton, was too easily seen as representing an out-of-touch and uncaring political elite. Voters then alternated between Democrat and Republican, showing their dissatisfaction in the politics of resentment.
· Polarisation in politics is dysfunctional. A recent article, Congress's new low, reported that “In the most recent Gallup poll of February 2024, approval of Congress sank to the lowest it’s been in the entire half century. Only 12 percent of the public now approves of the way Congress is handling its job.”
· Corruption can undermine people's trust in governments. For example, as reported by Time Magazine, “For Young Pakistanis, Democracy's a Drag" because of the corruption that accompanied its introduction; in a 2013 survey, 32% said that they thought that military rule would be better and 38% wanted Sharia law.
· Some examples of unacceptable authoritarian governments being overthrown were reported in a short Foreign Affairs article, Demystifying the Arab Spring.
The precise reasons are hard to identify, and vary from country to country, but all reflect discontent with the status quo and disillusion with politicians. There have been many political failures recently:
· The financial crisis in 2007-8 caused a great deal of hardship in the population, but the financiers who had caused the crash seemed to escape almost unscathed (3.3.4.3). This bailout of Wall Street generated considerable anti-establishment feeling, as Robert Reich noted in tracing the root of Trumpism. He also observed people's sense of unfairness:
“the linkages many Americans saw, and still see, between wealth and power, crony capitalism and stagnant real wages, soaring CEO pay and their own loss of status, the emergence of a billionaire class and the undermining of democracy, and globalization and the loss of their communities."
· Politicians have failed to respond adequately to the rapid economic and social changes associated with new technologies and globalisation, as described later (6.7.8).
· More generally, political systems can become dysfunctional if politicians perform poorly (6.3.3).
Dissatisfaction doesn’t always lead to revolution, or even to a change of government in a democratic election, but it does delegitimise politicians and the government in power. The topic of holding them to account is examined towards the end of this chapter (6.8.5).
(This is an archive of a page intended to form part of Edition 4 of the Patterns of Power series of books. The latest versions are at book contents).